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Red49
787911.1
162924.9
658410.4
Blue54
379323.8
445620.3
463818.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3856102030506070804954

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.9
17.118.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.2
End6.7
red by 1.1
3793
#10
23.80.0
22.022.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End7.3
Second
7879
#37
11.11.4
9.410.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End2.1
blue by 9.1
20.30.0
15.515.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End7.0
Third
6584
#32
10.40.9
9.610.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.9
blue by 8.3
4638
#18
18.70.0
15.915.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsEarned74%HAB Docking oddsMissed