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Red44
788617.2
138911.5
284918.0
Blue49
253715.0
374817.3
524314.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414320305060704449

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2849
#16
18.00.3
17.618.0
Auto4.2
Teleop10.7
End3.1
red by 0.7
3748
#29
17.30.9
16.016.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Second
7886
#27
17.20.6
12.012.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End3.1
red by 2.2
2537
#24
15.00.5
13.914.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Third
1389
#22
11.50.3
9.49.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End3.1
blue by 2.7
5243
#12
14.20.5
10.911.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed