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Red39
409920.6
394118.2
111115.7
Blue60
45418.6
88820.3
83623.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515340455560653960

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#15
20.60.6
19.118.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 2.7
836
#2
23.31.1
16.317.4
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End8.2
Second
3941
#17
18.20.6
14.113.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End2.9
blue by 2.1
888
#7
20.30.7
19.119.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End4.8
Third
1111
#23
15.70.6
15.414.7
Auto2.8
Teleop10.3
End2.7
red by 7.1
4541
#38
8.61.1
14.515.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed54%HAB Docking oddsEarned