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Red50
61427.7
686312.0
788617.2
Blue54
524314.2
37149.2
68618.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503920306070805054

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#9
27.70.2
26.226.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.5
End6.9
red by 8.8
686
#11
18.90.1
18.018.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.1
End5.7
Second
7886
#27
17.20.3
12.512.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End3.1
red by 3.0
5243
#12
14.20.1
11.511.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Third
6863
#33
12.00.2
8.38.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End3.0
red by 2.8
3714
#35
9.20.1
7.57.6
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsEarned