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Red58
337314.8
219926.2
463818.7
Blue53
88820.3
374817.3
162924.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545830405070805853

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.4
21.722.2
Auto2.6
Teleop14.6
End9.0
red by 1.3
24.90.1
18.017.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.2
End6.7
Second
4638
#18
18.70.4
15.916.4
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.5
blue by 1.5
888
#7
20.30.1
19.819.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End4.8
Third
3373
#30
14.80.4
13.614.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End3.7
blue by 2.5
3748
#29
17.30.2
16.916.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsMissed