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Red47
49496.5
111115.7
524314.2
Blue26
658410.4
554912.8
29616.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342810204050604726

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#23
15.70.3
14.715.0
Auto2.8
Teleop10.3
End2.7
red by 2.9
5549
#31
12.80.0
10.510.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End3.3
Second
5243
#12
14.20.3
11.511.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 3.7
6584
#32
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.9
Third
4949
#34
6.50.3
6.26.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End0.4
blue by 0.3
2961
#36
6.80.0
5.85.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed