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Red38
686312.0
632612.7
594513.1
Blue38
138911.5
450516.6
583016.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32420102050603838

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5945
#14
13.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End2.6
blue by 3.6
4505
#13
16.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Second
6326
#21
12.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.5
blue by 3.3
5830
#20
16.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End5.6
Third
6863
#33
12.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End3.0
red by 0.5
1389
#22
11.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed