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Red45
237719.0
594513.1
68618.9
Blue72
623922.1
463818.7
111115.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58563040507080904572

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#28
19.00.8
20.519.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End2.8
blue by 3.1
6239
#25
22.11.3
18.419.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.3
End4.4
Second
686
#11
18.90.6
20.619.9
Auto3.1
Teleop10.1
End5.7
red by 0.2
4638
#18
18.71.3
18.519.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.5
Third
5945
#14
13.10.6
13.412.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End2.6
blue by 2.7
1111
#23
15.71.3
16.017.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed