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Red17
450516.6
787911.1
49496.5
Blue46
337314.8
583016.0
338912.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39441020305060701746

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4505
#13
16.61.4
18.417.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End3.3
red by 0.6
5830
#20
16.00.3
15.715.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End5.6
Second
7879
#37
11.11.8
12.710.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End2.1
blue by 3.6
3373
#30
14.80.3
14.314.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End3.7
Third
4949
#34
6.51.4
6.14.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End0.4
blue by 5.9
3389
#26
12.40.3
12.012.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed