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Red37
68939.0
787912.4
511512.9
Blue51
621311.6
424222.7
281910.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354102060803751

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#26
12.90.2
12.012.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
blue by 9.7
4242
#12
22.70.8
21.422.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Second
7879
#25
12.40.2
11.611.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End3.4
red by 0.8
6213
#36
11.60.8
9.910.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Third
6893
#24
9.00.2
9.810.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.4
End2.6
blue by 1.5
2819
#13
10.50.8
7.88.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed