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Red62
63129.1
189519.0
291220.7
Blue64
173121.5
290010.9
237724.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53502030406070806264

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2912
#11
20.70.1
20.420.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.4
End5.1
blue by 3.7
2377
#16
24.41.1
21.022.2
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End4.2
Second
1895
#20
19.00.1
20.220.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End4.4
blue by 2.5
21.51.1
17.818.9
Auto4.3
Teleop12.7
End4.5
Third
6312
#38
9.10.2
10.09.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End2.6
blue by 1.8
2900
#21
10.91.1
8.39.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed