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Red71
23721.8
616124.2
490621.6
Blue64
617219.8
615322.9
264822.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6967204060801001207164

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6161
#18
24.20.4
24.524.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.7
End6.6
red by 1.3
22.90.0
22.722.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.4
End4.3
Second
237
#12
21.80.4
20.320.6
Auto3.4
Teleop14.3
End4.2
blue by 0.4
2648
#16
22.20.0
21.521.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.0
Third
4906
#13
21.60.4
20.921.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End4.4
red by 1.8
6172
#28
19.80.0
19.019.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
15%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed