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Red65
405518.3
17226.2
271218.0
Blue105
176825.7
632926.7
346721.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6577406010012065105

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#17
26.20.2
24.524.7
Auto3.6
Teleop14.3
End8.3
blue by 0.5
6329
#11
26.70.2
26.026.1
Auto3.7
Teleop19.6
End3.3
Second
4055
#24
18.30.2
19.619.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End3.0
blue by 7.4
25.70.2
26.326.4
Auto3.5
Teleop17.3
End5.0
Third
2712
#23
18.00.2
17.217.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End5.6
blue by 3.1
21.10.2
20.420.6
Auto4.4
Teleop10.4
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed26%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned71%HAB Docking oddsMissed