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Red79
252323.7
151933.4
549411.8
Blue53
492516.0
633719.0
393017.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71554060801001207953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.5
33.433.9
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End8.8
red by 14.4
6337
#26
19.00.0
18.818.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End5.5
Second
23.70.5
23.223.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End5.5
red by 5.9
3930
#14
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Third
5494
#20
11.80.5
11.211.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End2.6
blue by 4.2
4925
#31
16.00.0
15.916.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
89%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed