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Red41
77519.2
506724.0
361711.0
Blue27
782312.8
561214.9
52398.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49483035404550554127

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.3
24.123.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.2
End3.6
red by 9.2
5612
#34
14.91.3
18.617.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End4.1
Second
3617
#25
11.00.3
13.513.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.3
blue by 1.8
7823
#22
12.81.3
14.213.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End3.2
Third
7751
#26
9.20.3
8.48.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.2
End2.8
red by 0.8
5239
#23
8.41.3
13.011.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed