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Red48
655712.7
170115.8
90423.4
Blue49
438410.9
523012.5
521627.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5050404555604849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#7
23.40.0
20.120.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.6
End4.7
blue by 4.3
27.70.1
23.723.8
Auto4.4
Teleop14.8
End8.5
Second
1701
#33
15.80.0
17.017.0
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End2.3
red by 3.3
5230
#17
12.50.1
9.79.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End1.9
Third
6557
#32
12.70.0
10.210.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End2.9
red by 1.7
4384
#14
10.90.1
13.513.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed