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Red50
570214.9
438121.4
78615.3
Blue45
717213.8
483512.1
553511.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45361020304050605045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#10
21.40.3
22.522.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End5.4
red by 7.6
7172
#13
13.80.1
12.312.4
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End4.2
Second
5702
#18
14.90.3
11.812.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End3.9
red by 2.8
4835
#28
12.10.1
10.010.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Third
7861
#30
5.30.5
8.08.5
Auto4.6
Teleop-1.4
End2.1
blue by 5.8
5535
#24
11.10.1
11.711.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed