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Red58
511422.4
52398.4
170115.8
Blue42
570214.9
655712.7
515012.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5341102030607080905842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#15
22.40.8
22.521.6
Auto6.1
Teleop12.6
End3.7
red by 7.4
5702
#18
14.90.2
13.613.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End3.9
Second
1701
#33
15.80.8
17.116.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End2.3
red by 3.1
5150
#21
12.70.2
13.713.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End3.8
Third
5239
#23
8.40.8
10.910.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.5
blue by 4.3
6557
#32DQ
12.70.2
11.211.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed