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Red38
71567.1
566110.8
523012.5
Blue43
438121.4
361711.0
717213.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325201020406070803843

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5230
#17
12.50.3
11.611.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End1.9
blue by 8.9
4381
#10
21.40.4
22.221.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End5.4
Second
5661
#20
10.80.3
12.312.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End3.1
blue by 3.0
7172
#13
13.80.4
13.212.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End4.2
Third
7156
#36
7.10.3
6.06.3
Auto3.9
Teleop0.9
End2.4
blue by 3.9
3617
#25
11.00.4
13.613.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed