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Red26
556015.0
51839.9
724412.7
Blue64
353624.8
657316.6
715417.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4357020801002664

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5560
#14
15.01.6
14.012.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End5.5
blue by 9.8
24.80.7
23.324.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.9
End7.5
Second
7244
#28
12.71.6
13.712.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 5.0
17.70.7
16.617.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End3.7
Third
5183
#29
9.91.6
12.811.2
Auto4.8
Teleop2.9
End2.2
blue by 6.7
6573
#18
16.61.1
13.814.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsEarned