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Red12
57097.3
717113.7
22466.1
Blue24
780810.3
52308.8
65999.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383815253035401224

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7171
#31
13.73.0
11.88.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End3.1
red by 3.4
7808
#17
10.34.3
13.08.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End2.4
Second
5709
#34
7.33.0
12.99.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.5
blue by 2.1
6599
#30
9.31.4
11.410.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Third
2246
#39
6.13.0
11.78.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End0.8
blue by 2.6
5230
#32
8.81.4
14.913.5
Auto2.3
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed