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Red31
608721.1
57148.1
553412.2
Blue49
552511.5
473719.0
213727.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42511020306070803149

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.11.0
13.712.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End7.7
blue by 6.0
27.10.0
20.820.8
Auto3.2
Teleop15.1
End8.8
Second
5534
#23
12.21.0
13.912.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0
blue by 6.8
4737
#12
19.00.0
14.314.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
Third
5714
#38
8.11.0
12.411.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End3.7
blue by 3.4
5525
#19
11.50.0
13.613.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsEarned