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Red35
531412.7
43807.7
663719.0
Blue76
607719.9
526016.9
72508.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454630405060703576

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.5
17.116.6
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End5.1
blue by 0.9
6077
#10
19.90.4
15.014.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Second
5314
#15
12.70.9
13.612.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
blue by 4.3
5260
#35
16.90.2
14.714.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
4380
#37
7.70.9
12.311.4
Auto4.4
Teleop1.2
End2.0
blue by 0.7
7250
#33
8.40.4
13.813.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed