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Red32
526016.9
43807.7
439216.8
Blue80
86223.2
353624.8
608721.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385402060801003280

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#35
16.90.3
13.813.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.9
blue by 7.9
24.81.3
21.622.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.9
End7.5
Second
4392
#22
16.80.5
15.214.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End2.8
blue by 6.5
862
#4
23.21.3
17.418.7
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End5.7
Third
4380
#37
7.70.5
7.46.9
Auto4.4
Teleop1.2
End2.0
blue by 13.4
21.12.1
12.214.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsEarned