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Red50
353720.6
531412.7
550515.9
Blue11
708416.6
57097.3
65999.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4337102030506070805011

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.61.1
12.813.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End2.2
red by 4.0
7084
#20
16.62.7
15.112.5
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End5.5
Second
5505
#25
15.91.1
15.016.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End3.5
red by 6.5
6599
#30
9.32.7
10.07.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Third
5314
#15
12.71.1
12.713.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
red by 5.4
5709
#34
7.32.7
9.87.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed