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Red51
207530.5
556015.0
71559.5
Blue39
607719.9
507215.3
51839.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060801001205139

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.51.1
17.618.7
Auto3.3
Teleop18.9
End8.3
red by 10.6
6077
#10
19.90.1
14.614.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Second
5560
#14
15.01.1
12.413.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End5.5
blue by 0.3
5072
#13
15.30.1
12.612.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End3.5
Third
7155
#36
9.51.1
10.912.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End2.9
blue by 0.4
5183
#29
9.90.1
11.211.3
Auto4.8
Teleop2.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed