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Red63
439216.8
657316.6
663719.0
Blue55
607921.5
473719.0
498311.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484840455055606355

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.5
16.617.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End5.1
blue by 2.5
21.50.3
18.819.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End5.4
Second
4392
#22
16.80.9
14.315.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End2.8
blue by 2.3
4737
#12
19.00.3
14.414.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
Third
6573
#18
16.60.9
14.915.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End2.2
red by 5.0
4983
#27
11.60.4
11.912.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed