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Red38
71098.4
86223.2
702014.3
Blue27
552511.5
526016.9
22466.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423902060801001201401603827

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#4
23.20.1
17.517.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End5.7
red by 6.3
5260
#35
16.90.7
14.513.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Second
7020
#24
14.30.1
13.513.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.4
End3.2
red by 2.8
5525
#19
11.51.1
13.612.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Third
7109
#21
8.40.2
8.78.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.9
red by 2.2
2246
#39
6.11.1
8.77.6
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed