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Red23
57148.1
72508.4
724412.7
Blue42
780810.3
782313.1
71729.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3932102050602342

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7244
#28
12.72.2
12.19.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 0.4
7823
#16
13.11.0
10.111.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.0
Second
7250
#33
8.42.2
13.511.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End1.8
blue by 1.9
7808
#17
10.31.0
8.79.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End2.4
Third
5714
#38
8.12.2
11.49.2
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End3.7
blue by 1.7
7172
#26
9.91.0
11.512.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed