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Red48
724412.7
657316.6
717113.7
Blue37
71559.5
439216.8
57148.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37361020304050604837

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6573
#18
16.60.8
16.917.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End2.2
blue by 0.2
4392
#22
16.80.8
13.712.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Second
7171
#31
13.70.8
8.39.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End3.1
red by 4.2
7155
#36
9.50.8
10.09.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End2.9
Third
7244
#28
12.70.8
9.810.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.7
red by 4.5
5714
#38
8.10.8
10.59.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed