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Red31
556015.0
498311.6
552511.5
Blue30
550515.9
526016.9
780810.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394520305060703130

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5560
#14
15.00.7
14.713.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End5.5
blue by 1.9
5260
#35
16.90.9
13.712.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Second
4983
#27
11.60.7
12.511.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.0
blue by 4.3
5505
#25
15.91.4
17.215.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End3.5
Third
5525
#19
11.50.7
10.29.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
red by 1.2
7808
#17
10.31.4
12.110.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed