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Red65
65999.3
213727.1
207530.5
Blue43
607921.5
72508.4
663719.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56492030406070806543

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.51.4
24.926.2
Auto3.3
Teleop18.9
End8.3
red by 9.0
21.50.3
20.420.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End5.4
Second
27.10.8
22.523.3
Auto3.2
Teleop15.1
End8.8
red by 8.1
19.00.3
17.216.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End5.1
Third
6599
#30
9.31.4
5.36.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End2.2
red by 0.9
7250
#33
8.40.4
9.38.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed