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Red44
608721.1
473719.0
782313.1
Blue47
353720.6
507215.3
57097.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444120305060704447

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.8
15.314.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End7.7
red by 0.5
20.60.9
16.016.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End2.2
Second
4737
#12
19.00.5
15.515.0
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
red by 3.7
5072
#13
15.30.9
14.315.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End3.5
Third
7823
#16
13.10.8
11.010.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.0
red by 5.8
5709
#34
7.30.9
9.09.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed