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Red55
608721.1
607719.9
556015.0
Blue48
657316.6
531412.7
526016.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514320304060705548

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.7
17.017.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End7.7
red by 4.2
5260
#35
16.90.5
13.413.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Second
6077
#10
19.90.7
17.618.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End3.7
red by 3.3
6573
#18
16.60.7
17.318.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Third
5560
#14
15.00.7
13.313.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End5.5
red by 2.4
5314
#15
12.70.7
10.311.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed