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Red50
708416.6
552511.5
612117.6
Blue17
57097.3
52308.8
72508.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43331020304050605017

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6121
#11
17.60.6
17.117.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.4
red by 8.9
5230
#32
8.81.4
12.210.8
Auto2.3
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Second
7084
#20
16.60.6
14.915.5
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End5.5
red by 8.2
7250
#33
8.41.4
10.38.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Third
5525
#19
11.50.6
8.99.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
red by 4.3
5709
#34
7.31.4
9.07.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed