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Red15
377016.0
608911.7
615212.0
Blue35
705616.2
387518.5
439513.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4042203050601535

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#29
16.02.5
14.512.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.3
End5.2
blue by 2.5
3875
#16
18.50.5
14.614.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End3.2
Second
6152
#24
12.02.5
11.99.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End2.4
blue by 4.3
7056
#10
16.20.5
12.211.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End3.3
Third
6089
#27
11.72.5
11.38.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.0
blue by 1.4
4395
#12
13.10.5
12.812.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed