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Red56
695413.2
605712.4
556724.6
Blue67
61163.1
506614.6
102528.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434420304050605667

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.7
16.518.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End8.8
blue by 3.6
28.12.5
19.121.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.6
End9.0
Second
6954
#22
13.21.7
11.012.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End4.0
blue by 1.4
5066
#15
14.62.5
13.516.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.4
End3.6
Third
6057
#32
12.41.7
13.114.9
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End3.5
red by 9.3
6116
#39
3.12.5
8.911.4
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned44%HAB Docking oddsEarned