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Red36
439513.1
150215.3
48408.1
Blue46
661512.2
705616.2
695413.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30381020503646

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#20
15.30.8
11.112.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End4.8
blue by 1.0
7056
#10
16.20.0
11.711.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End3.3
Second
4395
#12
13.10.8
12.313.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.6
blue by 0.2
6954
#22
13.20.0
12.712.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End4.0
Third
4840
#38
8.10.5
5.05.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End1.6
blue by 4.1
6615
#35
12.20.0
12.012.0
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed