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Red43
150416.4
387518.5
608911.7
Blue52
505028.2
778812.9
601310.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384110203050604352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#16
18.50.4
14.114.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End3.2
blue by 9.7
28.21.5
19.721.2
Auto5.3
Teleop14.8
End8.1
Second
16.40.4
13.113.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
red by 3.5
7788
#17
12.90.9
10.211.1
Auto6.2
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Third
6089
#27
11.70.4
8.79.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.0
red by 1.6
6013
#33
10.10.9
8.59.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned