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Red60
591511.3
377311.5
505028.2
Blue51
86218.5
608911.7
785912.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464120305060706051

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.7
22.324.0
Auto5.3
Teleop14.8
End8.1
red by 9.7
862
#13
18.51.3
18.519.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Second
3773
#18
11.51.8
13.415.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End3.5
blue by 1.0
7859
#36
12.61.3
9.610.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.4
End3.0
Third
5915
#31
11.31.8
8.210.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End2.2
blue by 0.4
6089
#27
11.71.3
10.311.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsMissed