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Red47
65839.5
107619.5
387518.5
Blue65
553023.3
31315.4
610115.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4245203050604765

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1076
#14
19.50.8
14.915.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End4.2
blue by 3.7
23.32.0
19.321.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End5.6
Second
3875
#16
18.50.8
17.418.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End3.2
red by 3.1
313
#19
15.42.0
10.913.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End3.2
Third
6583
#40
9.50.8
7.38.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 5.6
6101
#21
15.12.2
12.114.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsEarned