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Red30
615212.0
785912.6
691410.7
Blue54
686121.0
661512.2
107619.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37501020306070803054

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7859
#36
12.60.4
11.511.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.4
End3.0
blue by 8.4
21.00.4
17.818.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Second
6152
#24
12.00.4
12.512.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End2.4
blue by 7.6
1076
#14
19.50.4
16.616.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End4.2
Third
6914
#37
10.70.4
10.610.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End1.8
blue by 1.5
6615
#35
12.20.4
12.512.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed