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Red75
102528.1
505028.2
56199.7
Blue30
601310.1
610115.1
605712.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594120801007530

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.4
24.926.3
Auto5.3
Teleop14.8
End8.1
red by 13.1
6101
#21
15.10.8
13.512.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End3.5
Second
28.11.4
23.925.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.6
End9.0
red by 15.7
6057
#32
12.40.8
15.414.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End3.5
Third
5619
#34
9.71.1
7.28.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 0.5
6013
#33
10.10.6
9.69.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed