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Red53
86218.5
387518.5
377311.5
Blue34
48408.1
24018.7
506614.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52432060805334

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#13
18.50.3
18.518.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End3.4
blue by 0.2
240
#6
18.70.6
18.618.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
Second
3875
#16
18.50.3
17.617.9
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End3.2
red by 3.9
5066
#15
14.60.6
15.514.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.4
End3.6
Third
3773
#18
11.50.3
13.313.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End3.5
red by 3.5
4840
#38
8.10.4
6.46.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed