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Red54
785912.6
24018.7
721115.8
Blue36
24714.2
150416.4
691410.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464302060801005436

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
240
#6
18.70.8
18.018.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
red by 2.3
16.40.4
16.616.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Second
7211
#11
15.80.8
14.915.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End3.8
red by 1.6
247
#23
14.20.4
14.213.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Third
7859
#36
12.60.8
11.111.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.4
End3.0
red by 1.9
6914
#37
10.70.4
10.29.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsMissed