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Red41
387518.5
601310.1
591511.3
Blue57
213720.8
150215.3
283213.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3951203060704157

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#16
18.50.3
17.918.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End3.2
blue by 2.3
20.80.1
19.919.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End7.4
Second
5915
#31
11.30.3
10.410.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End2.2
blue by 4.0
1502
#20
15.30.1
15.815.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End4.8
Third
6013
#33
10.10.2
9.19.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End2.6
blue by 3.3
2832
#25
13.40.1
12.912.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsEarned