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Red35
107619.5
61163.1
439513.1
Blue32
717511.7
377311.5
661512.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4040323436384244463532

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1076
#14
19.50.5
16.916.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End4.2
red by 7.4
6615
#35
12.20.5
12.912.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End2.2
Second
4395
#12
13.10.5
16.716.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.6
red by 1.4
7175
#26
11.70.5
11.310.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.0
End3.5
Third
6116
#39
3.10.5
3.93.4
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.4
End1.3
blue by 8.5
3773
#18
11.50.5
13.613.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed