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Red68
77222.3
296027.6
686117.1
Blue78
118921.9
353827.5
20113.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716640506080906878

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto5.1
Teleop14.5
End8.1
red by 0.1
27.50.3
27.227.5
Auto4.9
Teleop15.0
End7.6
Second
772
#6
22.30.0
22.222.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End7.6
red by 0.4
21.90.3
21.621.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Third
6861
#26
17.10.0
17.017.1
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End1.4
red by 3.2
201
#20
13.80.3
13.513.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End2.1