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Red40
575611.9
46911.1
233725.4
Blue60
353420.5
283418.9
496120.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536302040801004060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.7
25.925.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.2
End7.4
red by 4.9
3534
#10
20.50.0
20.720.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.8
Second
5756
#12
11.90.7
12.611.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End2.7
blue by 8.4
20.30.0
20.120.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End6.2
Third
469
#24
11.10.7
11.911.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End2.7
blue by 7.8
18.90.0
19.219.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
70%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed