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Red64
24525.8
50318.6
20113.8
Blue46
332213.9
341422.7
353910.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60512030407080906446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#14
25.80.5
25.525.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End6.8
red by 3.1
3414
#25
22.70.2
23.123.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End6.2
Second
503
#19
18.60.5
18.218.7
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End5.4
red by 4.8
3322
#28
13.90.2
14.113.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Third
201
#20
13.80.5
13.313.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End2.1
red by 2.9
3539
#27
10.90.2
11.311.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed